World Cup Win Probabilities for Every Match
We’re posting this ahead of the tournament and will be keeping it static throughout.
Check out our Group Stage Finish Probabilities.
Be sure to check out our Rankings and Predictions pages too!
| Team | Win% | Team | Win% | Draw% |
| Brazil | 77.2% | Croatia | 5.9% | 16.9% |
| Mexico | 45.9% | Cameroon | 25.1% | 29.0% |
| Spain | 50.8% | Netherlands | 21.3% | 27.9% |
| Chile | 88.9% | Australia | 1.7% | 9.4% |
| Colombia | 59.3% | Greece | 15.4% | 25.3% |
| Uruguay | 66.5% | Costa Rica | 11.1% | 22.3% |
| England | 53.3% | Italy | 19.5% | 27.2% |
| Ivory Coast | 37.9% | Japan | 32.1% | 30.0% |
| Switzerland | 35.9% | Ecuador | 34.0% | 30.0% |
| France | 72.8% | Honduras | 7.9% | 19.3% |
| Argentina | 47.1% | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 24.1% | 28.8% |
| Germany | 49.4% | Portugal | 22.3% | 28.3% |
| Iran | 9.9% | Nigeria | 68.9% | 21.2% |
| Ghana | 22.6% | USA | 49.0% | 28.3% |
| Belgium | 67.9% | Algeria | 10.4% | 21.7% |
| Brazil | 84.8% | Mexico | 3.0% | 12.2% |
| Russia | 75.4% | Korea Republic | 6.7% | 17.9% |
| Australia | 6.0% | Netherlands | 76.9% | 17.1% |
| Chile | 34.5% | Spain | 35.5% | 30.1% |
| Croatia | 55.4% | Cameroon | 18.0% | 26.6% |
| Colombia | 60.7% | Ivory Coast | 14.6% | 24.8% |
| Uruguay | 33.4% | England | 36.6% | 30.0% |
| Greece | 39.2% | Japan | 30.9% | 29.9% |
| Costa Rica | 22.2% | Italy | 49.6% | 28.2% |
| Switzerland | 18.4% | France | 54.9% | 26.8% |
| Ecuador | 51.9% | Honduras | 20.5% | 27.6% |
| Argentina | 91.4% | Iran | 1.0% | 7.6% |
| Germany | 73.0% | Ghana | 7.8% | 19.2% |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | 50.6% | Nigeria | 21.4% | 28.0% |
| Belgium | 38.1% | Russia | 32.0% | 30.0% |
| Algeria | 45.9% | Korea Republic | 25.1% | 29.0% |
| Portugal | 44.0% | USA | 26.7% | 29.3% |
| Chile | 50.3% | Netherlands | 21.7% | 28.1% |
| Spain | 89.2% | Australia | 1.6% | 9.2% |
| Brazil | 92.0% | Cameroon | 0.9% | 7.1% |
| Mexico | 26.7% | Croatia | 44.0% | 29.3% |
| Uruguay | 51.5% | Italy | 20.8% | 27.7% |
| Costa Rica | 10.2% | England | 68.2% | 21.6% |
| Colombia | 63.8% | Japan | 12.7% | 23.5% |
| Greece | 36.3% | Ivory Coast | 33.7% | 30.0% |
| Argentina | 63.3% | Nigeria | 13.0% | 23.7% |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | 82.9% | Iran | 3.6% | 13.4% |
| Switzerland | 52.9% | Honduras | 19.7% | 27.3% |
| Ecuador | 17.6% | France | 55.9% | 26.4% |
| Germany | 58.9% | USA | 15.7% | 25.4% |
| Portugal | 58.6% | Ghana | 15.9% | 25.5% |
| Belgium | 78.2% | Korea Republic | 5.5% | 16.3% |
| Algeria | 12.2% | Russia | 64.6% | 23.2% |