2014 World Cup Group Stage Finish Probabilities
Check out our win probabilities for every match.
Be sure to check out our Rankings and Predictions pages too!
Click a column header to sort the table. You can sort by team name, odds to finish in a certain position, and group.
| Team | Group | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil | A | 93% | 6.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Croatia | A | 5.8% | 48.8% | 32% | 13.4% |
| Mexico | A | 1.2% | 29.4% | 41.8% | 27.6% |
| Cameroon | A | 0% | 15.2% | 26% | 58.8% |
| Spain | B | 45.2% | 35.2% | 19.2% | 0.4% |
| Chile | B | 42.2% | 37% | 20% | 0.8% |
| Netherlands | B | 12.4% | 27.6% | 54.4% | 5.6% |
| Australia | B | 0.2% | 0.2% | 6.4% | 93.2% |
| Colombia | C | 66% | 22% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Ivory Coast | C | 14.4% | 27.2% | 29% | 29.4% |
| Greece | C | 11.4% | 25.8% | 33% | 29.8% |
| Japan | C | 8.2% | 25% | 30.2% | 36.6% |
| England | D | 48.4% | 29.8% | 15% | 6.8% |
| Uruguay | D | 37.8% | 39.4% | 15.2% | 7.6% |
| Italy | D | 11.4% | 22% | 39.4% | 27.2% |
| Costa Rica | D | 2.4% | 8.8% | 30.4% | 58.4% |
| France | E | 59.6% | 25.4% | 10.6% | 4.4% |
| Switzerland | E | 20.4% | 32.2% | 29.4% | 18% |
| Ecuador | E | 15% | 30.8% | 36.2% | 18% |
| Honduras | E | 5% | 11.6% | 23.8% | 59.6% |
| Argentina | F | 66.4% | 25% | 8% | 0.6% |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | F | 25.2% | 48% | 25% | 1.8% |
| Nigeria | F | 8.4% | 25.4% | 57% | 9.2% |
| Iran | F | 0% | 1.6% | 10% | 88.4% |
| Germany | G | 62.6% | 24.8% | 9% | 3.6% |
| Portugal | G | 23.4% | 37.4% | 25.4% | 13.8% |
| USA | G | 11% | 25.2% | 39.6% | 24.2% |
| Ghana | G | 3% | 12.6% | 26% | 58.4% |
| Belgium | H | 49.4% | 39.6% | 9% | 2% |
| Russia | H | 46.6% | 40% | 10.4% | 3% |
| Algeria | H | 2.8% | 14.8% | 51.2% | 31.2% |
| Korea Republic | H | 1.2% | 5.6% | 29.4% | 63.8% |