World Cup Win Probabilities – Knockout Stage

Team To Reach Quarters To Reach Semis To Reach Finals To Win
Brazil 70.10% 51.92% 37.16% 28.60%
Chile 29.90% 16.31% 8.50% 4.96%
Colombia 58.84% 20.62% 10.56% 6.06%
Uruguay 41.16% 11.15% 4.74% 2.31%
France 73.90% 36.97% 14.34% 8.07%
Nigeria 26.10% 7.07% 1.26% 0.40%
Germany 84.89% 52.19% 22.97% 14.13%
Algeria 15.11% 3.77% 0.46% 0.11%
Netherlands 69.82% 53.60% 32.19% 14.01%
Mexico 30.18% 17.50% 6.99% 1.75%
Costa Rica 43.93% 11.39% 3.33% 0.55%
Greece 56.07% 17.51% 6.09% 1.27%
Argentina 66.16% 38.41% 21.99% 8.71%
Switzerland 33.84% 14.10% 5.85% 1.45%
Belgium 55.12% 27.42% 14.18% 4.85%
USA 44.88% 20.07% 9.39% 2.78%

 

Highest Win Odds

Team To Reach Quarters To Reach Semis To Reach Finals To Win
Brazil 70.10% 51.92% 37.16% 28.60%
Germany 84.89% 52.19% 22.97% 14.13%
Netherlands 69.82% 53.60% 32.19% 14.01%
Argentina 66.16% 38.41% 21.99% 8.71%
France 73.90% 36.97% 14.34% 8.07%
Colombia 58.84% 20.62% 10.56% 6.06%
Chile 29.90% 16.31% 8.50% 4.96%
Belgium 55.12% 27.42% 14.18% 4.85%
USA 44.88% 20.07% 9.39% 2.78%
Uruguay 41.16% 11.15% 4.74% 2.31%
Mexico 30.18% 17.50% 6.99% 1.75%
Switzerland 33.84% 14.10% 5.85% 1.45%
Greece 56.07% 17.51% 6.09% 1.27%
Costa Rica 43.93% 11.39% 3.33% 0.55%
Nigeria 26.10% 7.07% 1.26% 0.40%
Algeria 15.11% 3.77% 0.46% 0.11%

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